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Red34
245812.9
130220.6
46502.1
Blue45
21918.4
13613.8
167217.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404302060801001201403445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
#21
20.60.3
21.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
219
#3
18.40.1
11.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2458
#24
12.90.5
13.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1672
#13
17.10.1
18.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4650
#35
2.10.5
5.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
136
#11
13.80.1
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End