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Red40
312312.7
465310.8
331429.9
Blue91
392913.3
22239.2
122828.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405202060801001204091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#10
29.90.1
19.219.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
222
#1
39.22.0
27.029.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3123
#19
12.70.1
14.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
1228
#17
28.13.4
13.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4653
#34
10.80.1
8.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
3929
#22
13.32.0
10.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End