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Red50
43321.8
8716.5
218011.3
Blue49
316711.5
219114.8
108924.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373302060805049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#18
21.80.7
17.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1089
#10
24.80.8
13.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
87
#7
16.50.7
7.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2191
#25
14.80.8
12.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2180
#23
11.30.7
12.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3167
#31
11.50.8
8.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End