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Red52
3218.6
36533.2
457529.0
Blue65
29341.1
171217.7
475011.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64612040801001205265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
33.20.6
29.428.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
293
#1
41.10.2
35.735.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4575
#11
29.00.6
26.726.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1712
#27
17.70.2
13.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
321
#29
8.60.6
7.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
4750
#26
11.10.2
12.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End