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Red10
75911.4
341918.8
35316.2
Blue20
88412.9
47892.9
45281.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502404060801001201401020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#30
18.83.0
16.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
884
#21
12.90.7
12.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
353
#50
16.23.0
22.919.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
4789
#40
2.90.7
9.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
759
#19
11.43.0
6.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
4528
#42
1.40.7
6.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End