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Red38
464011.3
41086.0
457118.0
Blue3
123015.4
179613.1
46849.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16530406080100120383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.4
5.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1230
#58
15.43.7
19.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4640
#23
11.31.4
8.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1796
#38
13.13.7
20.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4108
#51
6.01.4
7.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4684
#33
9.53.7
7.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End