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Red52
33148.5
81016.7
313727.6
Blue3
401210.3
3549.9
25794.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3629020406080523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3137
#14
27.61.4
16.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
4012
#18
10.32.2
6.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
810
#7
16.71.4
7.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
354
#48
9.92.2
13.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3314
#43
8.51.4
11.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2579
#22
4.62.2
9.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End