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Red18
25794.6
29339.9
37605.2
Blue14
47892.9
4218.1
419111.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2132010405060701814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2933
#59
9.90.4
9.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4191
#16
11.81.4
15.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3760
#29
5.20.4
6.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
421
#35
8.11.4
10.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2579
#22
4.60.4
6.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4789
#40
2.91.4
5.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End