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Red16
77117.0
7435.2
123015.4
Blue73
88412.9
43837.2
33427.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324102060801673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
771
#4
17.01.5
17.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
334
#6
27.22.8
24.227.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1230
#58
15.41.5
12.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
884
#21
12.92.8
11.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
743
#54
5.21.5
4.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4383
#20
7.22.8
4.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End