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Red89
408541.8
127020.2
201627.5
Blue20
178717.7
359110.1
41657.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92230501508920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#19
41.80.4
34.434.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
1787
#38
17.71.1
14.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2016
#14
27.50.4
25.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
3591
#52
10.11.1
13.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1270
#32
20.20.4
20.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
4165
#43
7.41.1
5.14.0
Auto
Teleop
End