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Red3
428314.5
270415.3
6959.5
Blue48
412119.8
131715.4
411915.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36380206080100348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
#24
15.32.8
11.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4121
#15
19.80.8
15.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4283
#45
14.51.7
15.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4119
#31
15.60.8
15.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
695
#50
9.52.8
8.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1317
#40
15.40.8
7.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End