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Red71
70638.9
131715.4
101423.8
Blue88
178717.7
174715.4
326028.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69470204060801001201407188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#21
38.90.3
38.338.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
28.91.9
23.225.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1014
#12
23.80.3
19.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1787
#38
17.72.9
13.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1317
#40
15.40.4
8.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1747
#23
15.41.9
13.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End