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Red70
411915.6
414520.8
201627.5
Blue48
46757.3
63927.1
326631.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59640501001502007048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#14
27.50.5
26.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3266
#17
31.70.7
33.833.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4145
#44
20.80.8
17.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
639
#2
27.10.7
18.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4119
#31
15.60.8
15.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
4675
#51
7.31.2
10.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End