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Red26
414211.4
414520.8
178717.7
Blue32
159021.2
53312.9
43859.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373102060801001201402632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#44
20.80.9
11.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1590
#37
21.20.0
9.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1787
#38
17.70.9
9.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
533
#49
12.90.0
13.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4142
#29
11.40.9
15.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4385
#42
9.40.0
10.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End