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Red44
412119.8
300328.7
12746.8
Blue73
411915.6
478011.3
260334.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515502040801001204473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#22
28.70.5
28.628.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
34.11.0
34.935.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4121
#15
19.80.7
13.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4119
#31
15.61.5
10.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1274
#47
6.80.7
9.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4780
#41
11.30.3
11.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End