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Red33
17417.3
201627.5
20108.4
Blue78
270415.3
349629.5
412119.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555702040801001203378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#14
27.51.1
26.925.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3496
#18
29.51.1
26.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
174
#33
17.31.1
18.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
4121
#15
19.81.4
16.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2010
#53
8.41.5
9.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2704
#24
15.31.4
13.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End