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Red70
478011.3
112625.0
46122.0
Blue80
239920.9
428314.5
145026.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525902040801001207080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#48
25.00.8
21.722.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1450
#35
26.01.1
24.926.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
#8
22.00.8
21.522.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2399
#28
20.91.1
19.820.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4780
#41
11.31.1
10.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4283
#45
14.51.1
13.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End