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Red70
407013.4
332428.8
37828.6
Blue59
176017.7
426917.9
264117.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444102060801007059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.82.2
12.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
4269
#30
17.91.5
14.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
378
#11
28.61.5
22.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
1760
#22
17.71.5
10.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4070
#28
13.41.3
8.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2641
#34
17.60.9
16.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End