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Red116
326632.0
198532.4
15299.0
Blue108
103829.2
402826.0
381417.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5146020406080100120116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#10
32.43.3
23.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1038
#8Sur
29.25.1
26.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3266
#1Sur
32.05.5
17.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
4028
#17
26.05.1
13.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#52
9.05.5
9.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
3814
#46
17.35.1
7.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End