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Red192
471614.3
133446.4
131052.8
Blue98
368348.0
406933.0
357127.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071105015020019298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.81.4
50.852.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3683
#10
48.00.2
48.148.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.41.4
44.445.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
4069
#11
33.00.2
33.233.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4716
#35
14.31.6
12.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
3571
#15
27.80.2
28.027.8
Auto
Teleop
End