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Red140
124153.1
132519.2
201336.4
Blue97
77237.9
90727.2
375625.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088705015020014097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.6
51.852.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
772
#19
37.90.1
38.038.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.40.6
35.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
907
#17
27.20.1
27.327.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1325
#24
19.20.6
17.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
25.00.1
25.225.3
Auto
Teleop
End