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Red177
132519.2
201336.4
124153.1
Blue75
90727.2
375625.0
77237.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110875010015020017775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.2
52.453.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
772
#19
37.90.3
38.237.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.41.2
35.736.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
907
#17
27.20.3
27.427.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1325
#24
19.21.2
18.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
25.00.3
25.325.0
Auto
Teleop
End