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Red44
465910.5
299426.8
370517.6
Blue47
293516.8
481710.6
481415.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6037020801001201404447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2994
#25
26.80.6
25.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
2935
#18
16.80.4
17.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3705
#43
17.60.8
18.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
4814
#32
15.90.4
15.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4659
#34
10.50.8
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4817
#39
10.60.4
7.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End