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Red151
124153.1
19021.7
77237.9
Blue43
468810.1
150347.3
21857.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11153010015015143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.12.4
47.449.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1503
#23
47.31.0
46.645.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
772
#19
37.92.4
36.939.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.8
4688
#37
10.11.3
11.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
190
#26
21.72.4
17.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
2185
#29
7.51.0
4.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End