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Red31
285221.7
24410.3
299423.0
Blue59
132512.8
201323.0
434342.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304202060801001201403159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2994
#17
23.00.0
8.98.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
42.01.6
13.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2852
#31
21.70.0
17.917.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
23.01.6
17.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
244
#30
10.30.0
4.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1325
#16
12.81.6
9.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End