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Red62
124138.1
338713.8
78119.8
Blue2
353010.5
401511.3
48082.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56270204080100622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.9
17.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.9
4015
#14
11.32.4
10.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
781
#27
19.80.9
23.924.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
3530
#21
10.52.4
12.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3387
#11
13.80.9
10.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
4808
#29
2.82.4
8.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End