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Red38
280922.9
338615.9
2887.8
Blue50
78119.8
299423.0
35419.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375002060801001203850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2809
#15
22.90.0
20.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2994
#17
23.00.2
9.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3386
#25
15.90.0
11.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
781
#27
19.80.2
26.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#23
7.80.0
6.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
9.70.2
11.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End