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Red6
48082.8
24410.3
48070.5
Blue53
401511.3
132512.8
35437.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1132020406080100653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#30
10.30.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1325
#16
12.82.0
10.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4808
#29
2.80.7
5.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
4015
#14
11.32.0
4.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4807
#34
0.50.7
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
3543
#28
7.62.0
13.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End