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Red18
46851.7
285221.7
35437.6
Blue46
2887.8
471817.6
21859.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3825060801001846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#31
21.71.4
21.720.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4718
#10
17.61.5
10.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3543
#28
7.61.4
9.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2185
#24
9.11.6
9.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4685
#33
1.71.4
4.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
288
#23
7.81.0
7.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End