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Red11
35419.7
338713.8
35508.7
Blue4
39881.4
132512.8
78119.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3236020406080100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3387
#11
13.81.7
13.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
781
#27
19.82.4
22.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.71.7
10.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1325
#16
12.82.4
10.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3550
#20
8.71.7
9.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3988
#32
1.42.6
2.4-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End