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Red74
451926.4
406922.3
220010.7
Blue14
437211.6
420017.0
415213.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534502060801001207414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4519
#12
26.41.9
23.825.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
4200
#27
17.02.5
15.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#22
22.31.7
20.522.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
4152
#14
13.62.5
12.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2200
#19
10.71.7
7.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4372
#31
11.62.7
18.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End