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Red100
270233.0
285234.1
415213.6
Blue64
220010.7
357123.3
316123.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64430208010012014010064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.12.0
25.527.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
3571
#13
23.31.3
17.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.02.0
25.127.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
3161
#18
23.01.3
19.721.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4152
#14
13.62.8
10.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2200
#19
10.71.3
9.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End