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Red15
410611.2
263513.8
204622.3
Blue1
411010.7
170011.9
36738.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42390206080100151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#25
22.32.2
17.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1700
#50
11.93.2
13.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.82.2
15.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4110
#52
10.73.2
13.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4106
#29
11.22.2
9.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3673
#53
8.03.2
12.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End