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Red85
255721.4
200212.7
131824.7
Blue28
157111.3
357415.7
219214.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51320204060801008528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#13
24.73.1
15.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
3574
#31
15.70.6
15.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2557
#12
21.43.1
22.125.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2192
#37
14.20.6
10.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2002
#27
12.73.1
11.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1571
#43
11.30.6
9.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End