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Red30
75311.8
273325.7
200212.7
Blue19
143213.5
170011.9
41324.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5821040801001203019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.8
23.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
1432
#22
13.50.6
11.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2002
#27
12.71.8
14.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1700
#50
11.90.6
10.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
753
#44
11.81.8
14.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4132
#40
4.40.6
5.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End