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Red58
405113.0
219214.2
371121.2
Blue75
237422.9
214713.7
48822.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394602060801005875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#21
21.21.5
17.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2374
#15
22.92.6
13.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2192
#37
14.21.5
9.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
488
#35
22.22.6
21.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4051
#56
13.01.5
12.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2147
#26
13.72.6
10.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End