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Red45
395519.3
306211.5
30614.6
Blue83
402714.9
225228.6
351112.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374902060804583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3955
#28
19.30.5
14.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
28.63.0
20.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
306
#24
14.60.5
15.516.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
14.93.0
14.117.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3062
#32
11.50.5
8.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3511
#37
12.63.0
12.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End