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Red28
29120.3
319320.3
350412.2
Blue35
174315.7
6314.0
461510.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6541020801001202835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#18
20.32.7
27.224.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1743
#16
15.70.8
17.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
291
#7
20.32.7
19.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
63
#34
14.00.8
14.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3504
#25
12.22.7
14.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4615
#19
10.20.8
11.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End