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Red104
398811.3
399038.9
397722.7
Blue43
399621.3
41676.9
336024.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6557020408010012010443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.5
32.535.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
24.70.7
26.726.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.72.5
22.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3996
#21
21.30.9
23.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3988
#17
11.32.0
8.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
4167
#31
6.90.9
7.36.4
Auto
Teleop
End