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Red48
5098.6
338727.6
371017.7
Blue20
398620.2
39816.2
353011.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5837020801001204820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3387
#11
27.60.3
24.223.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3986
#10
20.21.2
21.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3710
#12
17.70.4
21.220.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3530
#36
11.61.0
10.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
509
#23
8.60.3
9.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3981
#37
6.21.2
8.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End