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Red36
159812.4
41517.2
42672.3
Blue78
407512.9
263215.3
445131.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29390501001503678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
415
#23
17.20.5
10.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
31.73.4
16.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1598
#30
12.40.5
12.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2632
#31
15.33.4
10.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4267
#59
2.30.5
7.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
4075
#42
12.93.4
9.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End