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Red23
53816.8
131920.4
6195.9
Blue21
34319.1
153913.5
28111.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304502060801001201401602321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#12
20.40.8
14.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
343
#18
19.11.8
18.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
538
#44
16.80.8
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1539
#61
13.51.8
10.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
619
#53
5.90.8
6.25.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
281
#24
11.81.8
13.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End