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Qual 242013 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red33
474011.7
409816.8
43964.1
Blue2
47210.6
457612.8
43066.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23280406080100332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4098
#18
16.80.7
11.9→12.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.1
4576
#23
12.82.1
11.5→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4740
#15
11.70.7
5.0→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
4306
#25
6.32.1
9.3→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4396
#40
4.10.7
7.3→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
4721
#50
0.62.1
6.8→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—