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Red2
38612.2
31162.5
401610.0
Blue123
398419.4
39616.9
82939.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14510204060801001202123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4016
#49
10.01.5
7.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.5
829
#9
39.53.9
31.735.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3116
#39
2.51.5
4.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
3984
#11
19.46.5
9.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3861
#45
2.21.5
7.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
3961
#29
6.93.9
3.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End