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Red15
474011.7
40209.9
219014.6
Blue40
39616.9
45546.1
384317.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31390501001501540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2190
#37
14.61.3
14.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3843
#10
17.90.2
19.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4740
#15
11.71.3
6.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3961
#29
6.90.1
7.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4020
#35
9.91.3
11.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4554
#32
6.10.2
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End