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Qual 622013 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red48
464217.5
409816.8
398419.4
Blue77
319636.5
37978.7
450418.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5248203040607080904877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3984
#11
19.40.2
20.7→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.1
3196
#5
36.51.4
28.1→29.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4642
#22
17.50.2
15.3→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.3
4504
#7
18.81.4
13.5→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4098
#18
16.80.2
15.1→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
3797
#36
8.72.2
6.9→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—