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Red67
384738.8
6535.3
433212.2
Blue102
45721.4
293640.6
41812.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4571010015020067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
38.80.9
37.638.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2936
Unranked
40.61.7
36.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4332
Unranked
12.20.9
9.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
457
Unranked
21.41.7
18.720.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
653
Unranked
5.30.9
2.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
418
Unranked
12.21.7
12.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End