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Red109
64712.8
129628.5
11872.8
Blue86
333513.3
35967.6
406341.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119116608010014016018010986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
72.80.5
74.874.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
359
Unranked
67.61.5
63.161.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1296
Unranked
28.50.5
29.428.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
4063
Unranked
41.01.5
39.638.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
647
Unranked
12.80.5
14.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3335
Unranked
13.31.5
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End