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Red45
458722.7
367910.8
420613.0
Blue21
373510.5
64712.8
433212.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443702060801001204521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
22.70.1
19.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
647
Unranked
12.80.9
13.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4206
Unranked
13.00.1
12.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
4332
Unranked
12.20.9
13.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3679
Unranked
10.80.1
10.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3735
Unranked
10.50.9
11.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End