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Red70
295019.1
28816.2
399742.6
Blue49
258320.8
6535.3
333513.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72310501001507049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3997
Unranked
42.60.2
41.741.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
2583
Unranked
20.80.6
20.220.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2950
Unranked
19.10.2
18.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3335
Unranked
13.30.6
12.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2881
Unranked
6.20.2
6.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
653
Unranked
5.30.6
4.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End